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Old 04-02-2020, 05:54 PM   #41
denis4x4
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Default Re: Coronavirus vs "A" Drive

Solo drive as there is no A that will allow 6 of separation. Love the comments, if they stay up, some of the guys from that other site might come back!
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Old 04-02-2020, 11:56 PM   #42
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Default Re: Coronavirus vs "A" Drive

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Originally Posted by ronn View Post
ps Jay jay, you mention upstate NY? why? the deaths are in NYC

so much MIS information! A lady yesterday told me there are over 2000 deaths in the US from this. not even close to true and she is a college professor.

would be nice if the truth was reported, rather then hysteria.
As of April 2, the US death count is now over 6000 increasing now in hundreds of deaths per day. The pandemic is still accelerating.

COVID 19 is extremely contagious with a mortality rate of about 1.5%. This means as it eventually spreads and engulfs a third of the population (approx 100M) 1.5 million in the U.S. will likely succumb and die in the next 18 months. The Spanish Flu pandemic a hundred years ago will provide a good lesson where an estimated 100 million died worldwide in an era before rapid travel.

I do not want to sound like Mr Gloom and Doom. But this is deadly serious. You should carefully read the guidelines how to avoid contacting the virus and ensure you keep your distance. The worst aspect of COVID 19 when you have contracted it, it may take a week or two to even show symptoms. In that time if you mingle with others, you will infect them. So please be responsible during this period and stay safe!
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Old 04-03-2020, 03:31 AM   #43
Karl
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Default Re: Coronavirus vs "A" Drive

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Originally Posted by Penthode View Post
As of April 2, the US death count is now over 6000 increasing now in hundreds of deaths per day. The pandemic is still accelerating.

COVID 19 is extremely contagious with a mortality rate of about 1.5%. This means as it eventually spreads and engulfs a third of the population (approx 100M) 1.5 million in the U.S. will likely succumb and die in the next 18 months. The Spanish Flu pandemic a hundred years ago will provide a good lesson where an estimated 100 million died worldwide in an era before rapid travel.

I do not want to sound like Mr Gloom and Doom. But this is deadly serious. You should carefully read the guidelines how to avoid contacting the virus and ensure you keep your distance. The worst aspect of COVID 19 when you have contracted it, it may take a week or two to even show symptoms. In that time if you mingle with others, you will infect them. So please be responsible during this period and stay safe!
Yep you get it.
My gut feeling is that you actually have the death rate about right as well Italy has 10% Spain pushing that as well China says 4% (not sure how accurate that is but one would think they would under report rather than over report) other places 4% - However these are mortality rates in people with clinical symptoms - there are a lot more unknown who are asymptomatic or only mildly so -which reduces the true death rate

I have seen no evidence that the virus is spread greater than 48 hours prior to symptoms (although some get no symptoms-So you advice re not mingling is still appropriate ) In fact the evidence I saw thought spread was low put possible even in the 48 hours before symptoms. Makes sense really as it is droplet spread you need droplets (cough or sneeze) to really spread it effectively .

Stay safe

Karl
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Old 04-03-2020, 07:51 AM   #44
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Default Re: Coronavirus vs "A" Drive

Pent, you said it well.

We all need to think doom and gloom and stop sugar coating this virus. Then maybe everyone, especially the young kids will treat it seriously.

My hat goes off to all the front line people who are helping us out with this "Chinese Virus".
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